The Mountain Path Academy
← FundamentalsCapital budgeting hub →

FUNDAMENTALS · APPLIED FINANCE

Comparative & Complex Project Analysis

Choose among alternatives, compare lives and allocate a limited budget.

Prof. V. Ravichandran · The Mountain Path Academy
Formula, numerical illustration and Excel approach

THE MOUNTAIN PATH ACADEMY

Invest today. Evaluate future value.

01 · BUILD THE CASH FLOWS

What changes?

Initial outlay, operating flows, working capital, taxes and terminal proceeds.

02 · MEASURE VALUE

What is it worth?

NPV, returns, recovery, alternatives and capital constraints.

03 · TEST THE DECISION

What could change?

Risk, flexibility, financing, inflation and currency.

Each illustration connects the financial formula with Excel cells, calculation steps and interpretation.

CAPITAL BUDGETING · FORMULA AND EXCEL

1. Independent, mutually exclusive and dependent projects

RelationshipDecision logicExample
IndependentAccept each positive NPV if constraints permitDifferent outlets with unrelated demand
Mutually exclusiveChoose the feasible alternative with greatest NPV on a comparable basisTwo machines for the same task
DependentEvaluate interactions or linked packagesWarehouse automation requires enabling software

A portfolio NPV is additive only after interactions are represented. Do not count the same synergy in two projects.

CAPITAL BUDGETING · FORMULA AND EXCEL

2. NPV–IRR conflict from scale

Incremental NPV = NPV(B) − NPV(A)

For one year at 10%, A costs 100 and pays 140: IRR 40%, NPV 27.27. B costs 500 and pays 650: IRR 30%, NPV 90.91. If mutually exclusive and funding is available, choose B despite its lower IRR. Incremental B−A is −400, +510; its NPV is +63.64.

Reproduce it in Excel

Use a separate worksheet for this illustration.

Cell / rangeEnter / formulaMeaning
B20.1Required return
B5:C5-100, 140Project A
B6:C6-500, 650Project B
D5=NPV($B$2,C5)+B5A NPV = 27.27; copy down
E5=IRR(B5:C5)A IRR = 40%; copy down
B8=B6-B5Incremental initial flow
C8=C6-C5Incremental receipt
D8=NPV(B2,C8)+B8Incremental NPV = 63.64

IRR is a percentage; NPV measures currency value. A high percentage on a small amount need not create the most value.

CAPITAL BUDGETING · FORMULA AND EXCEL

3. Timing conflicts and the crossover rate

A is −100, +130, 0. B is −100, 0, +160. A’s IRR is 30%; B’s is 26.49%. At 10%, NPV(A) = 18.18 and NPV(B) = 32.23. At 25%, NPV(A) = 4.00 and NPV(B) = 2.40. Rankings cross because the later receipt is more sensitive to discounting.

Crossover: 130/(1+k) = 160/(1+k)² ⇒ k = 160/130 − 1 = 23.08%

Reproduce it in Excel

Use a separate worksheet for this illustration.

Cell / rangeEnter / formulaMeaning
B20.1Trial discount rate
B5:D5-100, 130, 0A cash flows
B6:D6-100, 0, 160B cash flows
E5=NPV($B$2,C5:D5)+B5Copy to E6
B8=160/130-1Crossover = 23.08%

The crossover can also be found from the NPV of incremental flows, but incremental streams need not have a unique IRR. Reinvestment interpretations should not obscure the underlying scale and timing arithmetic.

CAPITAL BUDGETING · FORMULA AND EXCEL

3A. Verify the supplied two-project case before diagnosing a conflict

The following original cash flows are in US dollars, with year-end receipts and a common 10% required return.

YearProject AProject BB minus A
0-10000-100000
175001000-6500
2400050001000
3100090008000
NPVA = −10,000 + 7,500/1.1 + 4,000/1.1² + 1,000/1.1³ = 875.28
NPVB = −10,000 + 1,000/1.1 + 5,000/1.1² + 9,000/1.1³ = 1,803.16
MetricABRanking
NPV at 10%$875.28$1,803.16B
IRR16.64%17.60%B
MIRR at 10%13.12%16.25%B

These exact numbers have no ranking conflict. NPV(B) − NPV(A) is $927.87. The previously supplied 17.51%, 16.32% and 13.04% rates do not solve the stated equations.

Reproduce it in Excel

Use a separate worksheet for this illustration.

Cell / rangeEnter / formulaMeaning
B20.1Required return
B5:E5-10000,7500,4000,1000Project A
B6:E6-10000,1000,5000,9000Project B
F5=NPV($B$2,C5:E5)+B5A NPV; copy to F6
G5=IRR(B5:E5)A IRR; copy to G6
H5=MIRR(B5:E5,$B$2,$B$2)A MIRR; copy to H6
B9=B6-B5Incremental cash flow; copy across E9
F9=NPV($B$2,C9:E9)+B9Incremental NPV = 927.87
G9=IRR(B9:E9)Crossover = 18.90%
0 = −6,500/(1+r) + 1,000/(1+r)² + 8,000/(1+r)³
Multiply by (1+r)³: 6,500(1+r)² − 1,000(1+r) − 8,000 = 0
r = 18.8987%

At this crossover, both project NPVs are approximately −$267.70. A crossing does not itself mean that either investment is worth undertaking. If doing neither is feasible, compare the best project NPV with zero.

CAPITAL BUDGETING · FORMULA AND EXCEL

3B. A genuine conflict variant and incremental IRR

Change just one stated assumption: reduce Project B’s year-3 receipt from $9,000 to $8,500. All other flows remain the same. This is a separate, explicitly modified teaching variant.

Metric at 10%A: unchangedB: final receipt 8,500Preferred
NPV$875.28$1,427.50B
IRR16.64%16.11%A
Year-3 terminal value at 10%$14,475$15,210B
MIRR at 10%13.12%15.00%B
Incremental B−A = [0, −6,500, +1,000, +7,500]
Incremental NPV at 10% = 1,427.50 − 875.28 = 552.22
Crossover r = IRR([0,−6,500,1,000,7,500]) = 15.3846%

Reproduce it in Excel

Use a separate worksheet for this illustration.

Cell / rangeEnter / formulaMeaning
B20.1Common hurdle rate
B5:E5-10000,7500,4000,1000Project A
B6:E6-10000,1000,5000,8500Modified Project B
F5=NPV($B$2,C5:E5)+B5NPV; copy down
G5=IRR(B5:E5)IRR; copy down
H5=MIRR(B5:E5,$B$2,$B$2)MIRR; copy down
B9=B6-B5Copy across through E9
F9=NPV($B$2,C9:E9)+B9Incremental NPV = 552.22
G9=IRR(B9:E9)Crossover = 15.3846%

Choosing B sacrifices $6,500 of early cash at year 1 in exchange for $1,000 extra in year 2 and $7,500 extra in year 3. This incremental stream has one economically relevant positive IRR. Since the hurdle of 10% is below 15.38%, B adds more NPV.

How to read the profile

For economically relevant non-negative discount rates below 15.38%, B has greater NPV; above it, A has greater NPV. At any rate also check whether the preferred project has positive NPV. The general incremental-IRR rule is unreliable for incremental streams with multiple roots or a different investment/financing pattern; incremental NPV remains the direct test.

NPV (US dollars)0%5%10%15%20%25%30%01,0002,0003,0004,000Crossover 15.38%A (navy)Modified B (green)
Exact NPV profiles from the modified cash flows. The crossover is computed from incremental cash flows; lines sample discount rates from 0% to 30%.

Why do rankings differ?

Timing and scale determine the shapes of the NPV profiles. The formula for NPV does not require physically reinvesting receipts at WACC, and solving IRR does not require physically reinvesting them at IRR. Those rates enter a common terminal-wealth interpretation; MIRR makes an assumed reinvestment rate explicit. Early cash recovery alone does not guarantee a higher IRR for arbitrary project streams.

Decision rule with the right scope

For comparable, feasible, mutually exclusive alternatives, choose the higher NPV at risk-appropriate discount rates. Under funding constraints maximise the NPV of the feasible portfolio. When lives or services differ, first establish a comparable decision horizon. The simple scale illustration’s undiscounted gain is not the same as NPV at a positive hurdle rate.

CAPITAL BUDGETING · FORMULA AND EXCEL

4. Unequal lives: equivalent annual cost

EAC = PV of life-cycle costs / annuity factor(k,n)
EAA = NPV / annuity factor(k,n)

Two machines deliver the same required service. A costs 100, lasts 3 years and costs 10 a year to run. B costs 140, lasts 5 years and costs 8 a year. With zero salvage, no taxes and k = 10%, EAC(A) = 50.21 and EAC(B) = 44.93 per year. Choose B if repeatability and equal service assumptions hold.

Reproduce it in Excel

Use a separate worksheet for this illustration.

Cell / rangeEnter / formulaMeaning
B20.1Required return
B5:D5100, 3, 10A purchase, years, annual cost
B6:D6140, 5, 8B purchase, years, annual cost
E5=(1-(1+$B$2)^(-C5))/$B$2Annuity factor; copy down
F5=B5+D5*E5PV of costs; copy down
G5=F5/E5Positive EAC; copy down
H5=-PMT($B$2,C5,F5)Excel cross-check; copy down

For benefit projects, compare EAA on consistent assumptions. For costs, compare lower positive EAC. EAA does not justify comparing different services or assuming an unrepeatable project will recur.

CAPITAL BUDGETING · FORMULA AND EXCEL

5. Replacement chains and a common service horizon

For lives of 3 and 5 years, a 15-year chain can compare five A cycles with three B cycles. Repeat purchase costs at years 0,3,6,9,12 for A and 0,5,10 for B; include operating payments for years 1–15. Do not buy another machine at year 15 when the analysis ends then.

PV chain A = PV cycle A × [1 + (1.1)−3 + (1.1)−6 + (1.1)−9 + (1.1)−12]

Reproduce it in Excel

Continue the EAC case above. Replacement prices and operating costs are assumed repeatable.

Cell / rangeEnter / formulaMeaning
J5=F5*(1+(1+$B$2)^(-3)+(1+$B$2)^(-6)+(1+$B$2)^(-9)+(1+$B$2)^(-12))15-year PV cost of A
J6=F6*(1+(1+$B$2)^(-5)+(1+$B$2)^(-10))15-year PV cost of B

If the service is needed for only four years, explicitly value the alternatives over that four-year horizon, including disposal or continuation values. Blindly repeating to a common multiple can answer the wrong business question.

CAPITAL BUDGETING · FORMULA AND EXCEL

6. Capital rationing and why PI ranking can fail

Budget = 100. Projects are indivisible: A costs 60, NPV 42, PI 1.70; B costs 50, NPV 34, PI 1.68; C costs 50, NPV 34, PI 1.68. Greedy PI ranking selects A, leaves 40 unused and achieves NPV 42. Selecting B + C uses 100 and produces NPV 68.

ConstraintMeaning
Hard rationingExternal inability to obtain suitable finance
Soft rationingManagement-imposed internal cap
Divisible projectsA fraction can be undertaken with proportional cash flows
Indivisible projectsAll-or-nothing investments requiring integer/binary choice

PI can be useful for independent divisible projects with one initial capital constraint. Indivisibility, dependencies, different future-year budgets and interactions require explicit portfolio optimisation.

CAPITAL BUDGETING · FORMULA AND EXCEL

7. Excel Solver: formulate the actual allocation problem

Maximise 42xA + 34xB + 34xC
Subject to 60xA + 50xB + 50xC ≤ 100; x ∈ {0,1}

Reproduce it in Excel

Use a separate worksheet for this illustration.

Cell / rangeEnter / formulaMeaning
B2:D260, 50, 50Capital costs A, B, C
B3:D342, 34, 34NPVs A, B, C
B4:D40, 0, 0Decision cells; Solver changes these
B6=SUMPRODUCT(B2:D2,B4:D4)Total spend
B7=SUMPRODUCT(B3:D3,B4:D4)Total NPV
B8100Available budget

In Excel Solver, maximise B7 by changing B4:D4. Constrain B6 ≤ B8 and B4:D4 to binary; use the linear model with integer restrictions. The solution is 0,1,1. For divisible investments, use 0 ≤ x ≤ 1 with continuous variables. Add one constraint per period or resource. A dependency such as “C requires B” becomes xC ≤ xB; mutually exclusive projects require xA + xB ≤ 1.

Sources and further reading

Selected relevant sections of the supplied materials informed this series. Prasanna Chandra’s planning framework also informs the emphasis on estimation and strategic fit. These are original explanations and teaching cases, not reproduced textbook examples.

  • Prasanna Chandra (2019), Projects: Planning, Analysis, Selection, Financing, Implementation, and Review, 9th edition, McGraw Hill. The uploaded 150-page scan was visually checked in selected opening sections: importance and difficulties of capital investment, project categories, planning–analysis–selection–financing–implementation–review, strategy and demand forecasting. It ends during Chapter 4; later detailed appraisal chapters appear in its contents but are not present in this extract.
  • Dayananda, Irons, Harrison, Herbohn and Rowland (2002), Capital Budgeting: Financial Appraisal of Investment Projects, Cambridge University Press. Reviewed selected passages on relevant cash flows, appraisal methods, sensitivity, simulation and capital constraints. The chapter structure also guides further reading.
  • Dr. Vijay Shankar Pandey, Capital Budgeting Techniques, uploaded as “Basics of Capital Budgetings”: process, payback, ARR, NPV, IRR and comparison. Rounded examples and conventions are checked independently rather than copied.
  • Professor James P. Dow Jr., FIN 303, Part 8: Topics in Capital Budgeting: uncertainty, flexibility and unequal project lives.
  • Capital Budgeting – Risk Analysis, uploaded five-page extract: probability, certainty equivalents and risk-adjusted approaches.

For continued study: Dayananda Chapters 1–2 for foundations; 5–6 for appraisal; 7–9 for risk; 11–12 for constrained selection; 16 for international appraisal. Review here is targeted, not a claim that the entire 343-page book was read.

Prasanna Chandra: further-reading map

The 9th-edition contents identifies Chapter 8 (Investment Criteria), Chapter 9 (Project Cash Flows), Chapter 10 (Cost of Capital), Chapter 11 (Project Risk Analysis), Chapter 12 (Project Rate of Return) and Chapter 13 (Special Decision Situations). These are reading directions, not claims that their absent pages were consulted.

Public reference links

All rates, taxes, exchange rates and business figures in the examples are teaching assumptions. Results use unrounded calculations and are rounded for display. Excel formulas use English function names and commas.

Continue the learning path